Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 2.915857e-01 0.389505 0.503382 0.643625 0.809693 0.998141 1.226165
2026-01-25 1.669543e-01 0.283419 0.440561 0.658886 0.945075 1.298499 1.758576
2026-02-01 8.728529e-02 0.196276 0.369106 0.639198 1.026949 1.540813 2.249423
2026-02-08 5.138249e-02 0.153974 0.343280 0.670100 1.174011 1.877701 2.888588
2026-02-15 2.707378e-02 0.115065 0.307052 0.673278 1.277022 2.160523 3.475359
2026-02-22 1.656998e-02 0.097912 0.302567 0.724407 1.454813 2.559557 4.244012
2026-03-01 9.043698e-03 0.080063 0.288920 0.754452 1.599456 2.917478 4.972081
2026-03-08 4.067825e-03 0.062001 0.266151 0.760689 1.702300 3.216116 5.626748
2026-03-15 1.336740e-03 0.045304 0.237470 0.747022 1.766301 3.455375 6.201915
2026-03-22 4.026144e-04 0.035722 0.223515 0.760567 1.877979 3.773700 6.905793
2026-03-29 5.869931e-05 0.027064 0.206537 0.762512 1.966363 4.056772 7.564587
2026-04-05 9.817777e-08 0.018571 0.182448 0.740548 2.004775 4.257044 8.100753
2026-04-12 NaN 0.012404 0.161835 0.723005 2.051820 4.477979 8.684756
2026-04-19 NaN 0.008890 0.150495 0.727872 2.144770 4.782207 9.412067
2026-04-26 NaN 0.005221 0.130433 0.700884 2.166751 4.962548 9.946187
2026-05-03 NaN 0.004100 0.128696 0.730777 2.314759 5.372906 10.865752
2026-05-10 NaN 0.002653 0.119293 0.732566 2.399664 5.672474 11.611775
2026-05-17 NaN 0.002391 0.124323 0.785970 2.606171 6.201122 12.749137
2026-05-24 NaN 0.001841 0.123324 0.817347 2.763570 6.644425 13.754636
2026-05-31 NaN 0.001154 0.116132 0.823714 2.862387 6.982255 14.591685
2026-06-07 NaN 0.000560 0.104551 0.809128 2.909221 7.223746 15.271953
2026-06-14 NaN 0.000326 0.100342 0.823402 3.027163 7.603216 16.193654
2026-06-21 NaN 0.000148 0.093796 0.825429 3.114213 7.925731 17.024243